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Monday, October 4, 2010
By Steven L. Taylor

Via the BBC:  Rousseff falls short of outright win in Brazil election

Brazil’s presidential election will go to a second round after Dilma Rousseff failed to gain the 50% of votes needed for an outright victory.

With 98% of votes counted, President Lula’s former cabinet chief has 47% with Jose Serra trailing on 33%.

The two will contest a run-off vote in four weeks’ time.

A strong showing by the Green Party candidate, Marina Silva, who polled 19%, may have cost Ms Rousseff a first-round win.

With a 14 gap between the top voter-getter and the second place finisher, the results of the final round are basically a foregone conclusion.  This is certainly a good example of where the use of an instant run-off would have saved time and expense (or several other variations).

There is little doubt that Rouseff is a shoe-in for final victory.  As the BBC puts it:

Many analysts believe a scandal involving her directly would be the only scenario under which she could lose a runoff.

In other, as I like to say, unless she shoot a man in Reno (or in this case, Rio) just to watch him die, she’s in.

My question would be:  who are the analysts not included in the “many” above who think that there is a chance of any other outcome?

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The views expressed in the comments are the sole responsibility of the person leaving those comments. They do not reflect the opinion of the author of PoliBlog, nor have they been vetted by the author.

2 Responses to “No Outright Winner in Brazilian Presidential Contest”

  1. LaurenceB Says:

    I would pay money to see the nuclear meltdown that would be the reaction of the Becks and Limbaughs to a U.S. candidate with Rouseff’s background.

    Once you’ve misled everyone who listens to you by labeling a moderate Democrat like Obama a Marxist-Communist Revolutionary, what crazy hyperbole do you have left for the real Marxist-Communist Revolutionaries?

    That would be great fun. But, alas, I guess it will never happen.

    I’m sure Rouseff’s first state visit to Washington will incite some crazy stuff from the Fox Newsers, etc. - but that’s so dog-bites-man nowadays. “Obama pals around with Commiess” has been done to death. Boring really.

  2. Steven L. Taylor Says:

    Indeed all around.

    And, of course, Lula has a similar background and has been a pretty good President.


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