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Wednesday, February 25, 2004
Basic Amendment Logic

By Steven Taylor @ 2:09 pm

Let me try this one more time, as I am not sure that my point has been sufficiently made.

First: the historical success rate for amendments once they have left the Congress: 81.8% (that�s a .818 batting average, which ain�t bad).

Second: why is this the case? Is it because the states are lapdogs to the Congress?

No.

It is because the political force needed to move 2/3rds of both Houses of Congress to pass a formal proposal has to come from somewhere. In most cases it comes from the people, and where do the people reside?

States.

So, the consensus that would be needed to affect the vote in the Congress would almost certainly exist at the state level as well. Under what scenario can anyone see the FMA passing the Congress without this kind of public pressure?

Filed under: US Politics

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4 Comments»

  1. Under what scenario can anyone see the FMA passing the Congress without this kind of public pressure?

    The only folks who believe that believe Halliburton is for gay marriage because of the increased sales of “petroleum based products” and they’ll pay off the Bush administration to pass it.

    Sorry, I was channelling Lemon for a minute there.

    Comment by Paul — Wednesday, February 25, 2004 @ 4:43 pm

  2. You beat me to it. Very good.

    By the way, .818 is only an average free throw percentage (perhaps slightly above average for the NBA nowadays).

    Comment by John Lemon — Wednesday, February 25, 2004 @ 11:17 pm

  3. The Bush administration has NOTHING to do with amending the constitution. The only way to pass the FMA is to go the alternative route like they did with the 21st amendment in 1933, it’s too hot for the politicians.

    Comment by ericl — Thursday, February 26, 2004 @ 9:02 am

  4. Eric,

    Even that route requires Congressional actions. There is no mechanism that won’t involve politicians. And really, the point is that if there was sufficient public support then it wouldn’t be so “hot".

    Comment by Steven — Thursday, February 26, 2004 @ 10:36 am

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