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Tuesday, September 23, 2003
Clark Polls (and the Other Guys, too)

By Steven Taylor @ 10:02 am

Some new poll numbers that will make Clarkites happy:

Democrat Wesley Clark, in the presidential race for less than a week, is tied with President Bush in a head-to-head matchup, according to a poll that shows several Democratic candidates strongly challenging the Republican incumbent.

Clark, a retired Army general, garnered 49 percent support to Bush’s 46 percent, which is essentially a tie given the poll’s margin of error. The CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll was conducted Sept. 19-21, beginning two days after Clark announced he would become the 10th Democratic candidate for the party’s nomination.

Although, the numbers should please other Dems as well:

In the head-to-head confrontations, it was Kerry at 48 percent to Bush’s 47 percent; and Bush’s 48 percent to Lieberman’s 47 percent. Bush held a slight lead over Dean, 49-45 percent, and had a similar advantage over Gephardt.

So, there is some general Bush-related weakness out there at this moment. I would argue that this is not radically surprisings, as the “rally around the flag” effects from the war have finally faded, Clark has been getting a ton of attention, the Other Nine have been furiously campagning, and Bush hasn’t been doing much.

I find the overall uptick in support for all the Democratic candidates interesting, as it is quite different than a serious of relatively recent polls. Either this poll has some bias toward Democratic voters, or it is capturing an important shift in the electorate. Time will, of course, tell.

I would argue that once the President starts being more active (such as the speech tonight, and once we hit prime legislation time over the next couple of months) his numbers will rise (although not radically). And, especially, once he himself actually starts campaigning in full force next year.

I still maintain that the Clark boomlet will subside somewhat. I am still primarily interested in the individual state polls, rather than the national ones.

Source: Clark Tied With President Bush in Poll

Filed under: US Politics
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  1. This can’t be.

    It just cannot be.

    Steven’s been telling us for weeks that Clark is doomed to Kucinich-Braun-type numbers if he runs.

    It’s far too late for Clark, Clark’s weird, Clark has no name recognition, Clark has no natural constituency, Clark’s too close to the Clintons…the list goes on.

    Damn that liberal media!

    Comment by JadeGold — Tuesday, September 23, 2003 @ 6:32 pm

  2. 87 billion $s is more than the state budgets of all 50 states. The President is a failure on jobs, healthcare, foreign policy, fiscal responsibility, and Iraq. I am saying this being a conservative Republican. How did we get this disaster in the White House?
    Sandy Gable

    Comment by Sandy Gable — Wednesday, September 24, 2003 @ 2:04 pm

  3. I think it is a sad joke that the rethugs have to buy a poll number. Yup the reported up poll for ole bushie was contracted by the RNC and guess what they called Republican areas. That is not even spin. It is bullshit just like the rest of the Republican agenda. Bye Bush!

    Comment by r stodghill — Tuesday, October 14, 2003 @ 9:22 pm

  4. Comment by Anonymous — Tuesday, August 10, 2004 @ 3:39 pm

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