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Saturday, September 6, 2003
National Numbers

By Steven Taylor @ 5:22 pm

James of OTB (via DailyKos) reports on the latest national polling data on the Nine.

He rightly identifies the significance of “other"-and I think that you can apply similar analysis to “Not Sure". And I agree with James- equating “Clark” with “Other” is a stretch. When 21% aren’t even sure, you can bank on the fact that a lot of folks don’t even know Clark is considering a run.

The one thing I wanted to add was that the best way to look at these national polls right now is as “name recognition” surveys, rather than actual vote-predicting polls. The only polls that really matter at this point, and they are, of course, tenuous, are the NH, SC and Iowa polls-and there Liberman is not faring too well.

Not only will these be the places which set the tone, but those folks have already been bombarded with info and are more likely to have formed an opinion, whilst people elsewhere, even committed Democrats, are not really paying attention.

Indeed, this dynamic is part of what I have talked about before when I have noted that many seem not to understand the primary process. Even with the compressed schedule this year, it really isn’t a national contest.

Filed under: US Politics

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  1. I just posted this comment at several blogs; it is about Wesley Clark and Howard Dean:

    I could say several things about both Dean and Clark. As I’ve said before, Wesley Clark is a war criminal, something that conservatives, libertarians, and liberals have all agreed upon.

    As for Dean, I think that he may not be as liberal as many people say. Conservative youth blogger (and former Bush administration member) Ben Domenech has made this point, as has leading conservative youth blogger Josh Claybourn. Both have predicted that he will be the Democratic party’s nominee.

    I am a conservative and a College Republican, so I of course would not support a candidate like Dean, however, I recenly wrote an article containing advice from conservatives to Dr. Dean, about how he may be able to better his chances of winning the nomination, and perhaps the presidency, as well. My piece actually contains advice from conservative journalists who are offering insightful ideas to Dr. Dean, which, if implemented, could help him garner the votes that he needs to win. The focus, though, is on the advice of one particular journalist, and I’ve enclosed in my article his recent piece dealing with a specific issue - one that could have an impact on the presidential campaign. If you’re interested, take a look at my memo to Howard Dean - it is featured in my latest blog entry.

    Find out which major issue could provide the key for unlocking the door to Dr. Dean’s chances of winning the White House.

    Comment by Aakash — Saturday, September 13, 2003 @ 7:41 pm

  2. To set the wolf to keep the sheep. ©

    Comment by Hugh — Sunday, June 13, 2004 @ 6:31 pm

  3. Comment by Deleter Spy — Monday, July 12, 2004 @ 3:00 am

  4. Comment by Anonymous — Tuesday, August 10, 2004 @ 3:09 pm

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