NBC poll: Bush holds narrow lead
Less than six weeks before Election Day, the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows President Bush with a lead over Democratic challenger John Kerry — but it’s within the margin of error, and it’s much smaller than some other recent post-GOP convention polls indicate.[…]
The poll, conducted by Hart/McInturff, shows Bush receiving support from 48 percent of registered voters, Kerry getting 45 percent, and Nader getting 2 percent. Among likely voters (defined as those expressing high interest in the November election, who represent 78 percent of the survey), Bush holds a four-point lead over Kerry, 50 percent to 46 percent.
And they also do some EC calcs:
Nevertheless, examining the national polls might not be the best way to gauge the current state of this race; what really matters is the electoral map. And according to an NBC analysis of that map, Bush has 222 electoral votes leaning his way, Kerry has 200, and 116 appear up for grabs.Sphere: Related Content
Kerry Campaign Pulls Ads
In lieu of using polls to determine a candidate’s strength among the voters, prudent observers will watch how the campaign teams shuffle their money.
Trackback by Interested-Participant — Thursday, September 23, 2024 @ 11:14 am
Watching this feed has been a fascinating exercise in polls. And learning to take them all with a grain of salt. http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Comment by Eric — Thursday, September 23, 2024 @ 11:16 am
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