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Saturday, October 27, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the AP: US to order diplomats to serve in Iraq

In the largest call-up of U.S. diplomats since the Vietnam War, the State Department is planning to order some of its personnel to serve at the American Embassy in Iraq because of a lack of volunteers.

Those designated “prime candidates” — from 200 to 300 diplomats — will be notified Monday that they have been selected for one-year postings to fill the 40 to 50 vacancies expected next year.

[…]

They will have 10 days to accept or reject the position. If not enough say yes, some will be ordered to go to Iraq and face dismissal if they refuse, said Harry Thomas, director general of the Foreign Service.

This strikes me as a better measure of how things are going in Iraq than much of the rosy sunshine that some pundits have been spouting of late about how the surge has cured all ills and we are on the path to glorious success.

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Thursday, October 25, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the AP: Computer system down for a month in Iraq

The U.S. spent at least $38 million to give Iraq’s government a computerized accounting system — and no one noticed when it was not working for a month, a report said Wednesday.

It was the latest in a series of reports from the special inspector general for Iraq reconstruction, Stuart W. Bowen Jr., that detailed slow progress on some projects and waste and chaos in the management of another.

Ok, there are many things one could say about this, but one that strikes me immediately is: how could they have gone for a month without noticing?

*sigh*

And here’s the shocker:

One of the tasks was to develop and implement a computerized Iraq Financial Management System, or IFMIS, to replace a Saddam-era computerized system.

The new program was undertaken only months after the invasion of Iraq “without the fundamental planning and analysis that should properly precede the whole change” of a country’s system and to ensure that it would be “based on Iraqi” ministry requirements, Bowen’s report said.

What? A program was put into place without proper planning and analysis? Imagine that.

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Saturday, October 20, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the BBC: Kurds ‘will fight Turkish raids’

The president of the Kurdish region in northern Iraq has said his people will defend themselves if Turkey attacks Kurdish rebels based in the region.

Massoud Barzani rejected accusations that his government provided cover for Kurdish Workers Party (PKK) fighters.

More interesting is the following:

BBC Baghdad correspondent Ian Pannell says that in reality any attempt to deal with the PKK will ultimately have to go through the Kurdish Regional Government rather than Baghdad, but that would be a step too far for Ankara.

Any direct talks with the northern government would amount to a tacit acceptance that the Kurds in Iraq have precisely the kind of autonomy that the PKK is fighting for in Turkey, our correspondent says.

That is a grand irony of the Turkish move, should it develop as described above, as it will actually has the potential to demonstrate the inability of Baghdad to control Kurdish Iraq and may also give the Iraqi Kurds a sense of that independence (beyond what they already have).

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Wednesday, October 17, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

A follow-up from this morning: Turkish MPs back attacks in Iraq

Turkey’s parliament has given permission for the government to launch military operations into Iraq in pursuit of Kurdish rebels.

The vote was taken in defiance of pressure from the US and Iraq, which have called on Turkey for restraint.

And the question now is far will the brinksmanship go: to the edge, or over?

And for ironic statement of the day:

However Syrian President Bashar Assad, visiting Turkey, said he supported the country’s right to take the action “against terrorism and terrorist activities”.

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By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the BBC: Turkey seeks green light on Iraq

MPs in Turkey are due to debate a motion authorising cross-border military operations into northern Iraq to target Kurdish rebel bases there.

Parliament in Ankara is expected to approve the motion by a large majority amid widespread public support for military action against the PKK.

The Turks are in talks with the Iraqis to find another solution, but the degree to which the central government in Baghdad can do anything in the Kurdish region, let alone influence the PKK is essentially nonexistent.

And just to show that the US isn’t the only state that can play the terrorism card:

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said the motion does not mean a military operation is imminent.

But he also warned that Turkey would act decisively in its fight against terrorism.

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Saturday, October 13, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

I wondered last night what the response of the hardcore war/administration supporters was going to be to Sanchez’s speech (full text here). Apparently the tact is to be “hey, look: he criticized the press, too!”

This is the approach taken by Ed Morrissey, John Hinderaker, and Bruce Kesler.

First off, the fact that Sanchez also criticizes the press while heavily criticizing the administration (and, to be fair, the Congress) does not negate in any way the very significant, and dramatic, criticism that Sanchez levels at the administration.

Second, even if an antagonistic press makes things more difficult for policy-makers, the bottom line is that policy-makers make and execute the policy, not the press. As such, no matter what one says about the press, they are ultimately not culpable for what actually happens. Further, I long ago rejected the thesis that the press wasn’t reporting enough good news, for if there were reams of good news that were being suppressed, the administration could have found a way to get the word out. Instead, the administration has provided little hard data of true success, and instead has fed us platitudes about victory, fighting extremists and the like. Even the much vaunted Surge has not produced the promised results (as George Will rightly noted a few weeks back).

Third, it is worth remembering that the press corps was initially quite the booster of the war. Indeed, the NYT in particular (which is much maligned by the Right these days) published a number of stories that helped the administration make its case for war (we do remember Judith Miller, don’t we?). Further, the TV coverage (regardless of the network) was very positive in the early goings, indeed, well into the war.

Really, one could fit this latter point about Miller, et al, into Sanchez’s critique of the press, although it seems that he is talking solely about press criticism of the war rather than its initial support.

At the end of the day the administration got us into the war, not the press corps. Further, the mistakes in intelligence and planning were failures of the administration, not the press corps. The notion that blaming the press somehow creates a refuge from the real incompetence that has been demonstrated by this administration or even that it should somehow be considered equivalent to the criticism of the administration is really a rather desperate ploy. It is also rather absurd.

Now, it is fair to note that Sanchez criticized a lot of actors in that speech, but it is impossible to treat all criticism as equal, given that not all the responsibility is equal in these events, nor is the power of these actors to have effected the outcomes the same.

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Friday, October 12, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the NYT: Former Top General in Iraq Faults Bush Administration

In a sweeping indictment of the four-year effort in Iraq, the former top American commander called the Bush administration’s handling of the war incompetent and warned that the United States was “living a nightmare with no end in sight.”

In one of his first major public speeches since leaving the Army in late 2024, retired Lt. Gen. Ricardo S. Sanchez blamed the administration for a “catastrophically flawed, unrealistically optimistic war plan” and denounced the current “surge” strategy as a “desperate” move that will not achieve long-term stability.

“After more than fours years of fighting, America continues its desperate struggle in Iraq without any concerted effort to devise a strategy that will achieve victory in that war-torn country or in the greater conflict against extremism,” Mr. Sanchez said, at a gathering here of military reporters and editors.

Funny, this sounds pretty much like what every critic of the war has been saying for some time. I wonder how the hard-core war supporters will deal with this? My guess is that they will attack Sanchez–which will be interesting to watch, given that the drum beat for months has been that we have to show deference to high level military leaders like General Petraeus, as they know better about these things than the rest of us. Of course, much of the counter-punch will be along these lines:

his role as commander in Iraq during the Abu Ghraib prisoner abuse scandal leaves General Sanchez vulnerable to criticism that that he is shifting the blame from himself and exacting revenge against an administration that replaced him as the top commander in the aftermath of the scandal and declined to nominate him for a fourth star, forcing his retirement.

I certainly have to admit that despite my early assumptions that this administration had assembled a team of competent policymakers, that they have come to be exemplified as follows:

“There was been a glaring and unfortunate display of incompetent strategic leadership within our national leaders,” he said, adding later in his remarks that civilian officials have been “derelict in their duties” and guilty of a “lust for power.”

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Sunday, October 7, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor


WCSH6.com - National Guard Troops Denied Benefits After Longest Deployment Of Iraq War

When they came home from Iraq, 2,600 members of the Minnesota National Guard had been deployed longer than any other ground combat unit. The tour lasted 22 months and had been extended as part of President Bush’s surge.

1st Lt. Jon Anderson said he never expected to come home to this: A government refusing to pay education benefits he says he should have earned under the GI bill.

[…]

Anderson’s orders, and the orders of 1,161 other Minnesota guard members, were written for 729 days.

Had they been written for 730 days, just one day more, the soldiers would receive those benefits to pay for school.

That missing days translates into (according to the AP) $518 a month:

Under the GI Bill, two categories of educational benefits are available to Guard soldiers: one for those who have served less than two years and another for those who have put in more time. Among other things, the latter benefit provides as much as $800 per month for full-time training while the former provides $282.

Given that the orders themselves where written for exactly 1 day shy of the cutoff, it is no wonder that

Both Hobot and Anderson believe the Pentagon deliberately wrote orders for 729 days instead of 730.

This is an unconscionable situation, and one that will hopefully be quickly rectified.

h/t: Steve Benen at TPM and John Cole at Balloon Juice.

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Wednesday, October 3, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the BBC: Polish envoy hurt in Iraq blast

Poland’s ambassador to Iraq has been injured in a bomb attack on his convoy in the capital, Baghdad, officials say.

[…]

Ambassador Edward Pietrzyk does not appear to have been seriously wounded and is now in hospital.

One civilian was killed and several others were injured in the attack. Poland backed the 2024 US-led invasion in Iraq and has about 900 troops there.

The attack was via car bomb.

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Monday, October 1, 2024
By Dr. Steven Taylor

Via the BBC: Iraq violent death rates ‘plunge’

In September, 884 civilians were killed by violence, less than half the figure for August, the government said.

[…]

There were 62 US military fatalities - the fewest in a single month since July 2024.

The troop surge and accompanying security crackdown is designed to give Iraq’s politicians breathing space to achieve reconciliation between the country’s rival factions.

Good news, yes, but still hardly stellar. It is a testament to the situation that only 884 civilians were killed by violence this past month is considered good news.

In regards to political progress:

However, our correspondent says, the political situation remains deadlocked and there are fears that when the extra troops are withdrawn the violence will escalate again.

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