Via the AP: Hamas Doing Better Than Expected in Vote
Hamas fared better than expected in Palestinian elections Wednesday, exit polls showed, raising the prospect that the ruling Fatah Party might be forced to form a coalition with the Islamic militant group that calls for Israel’s destruction. The outcome could put Mideast peacekeeping at risk.[...]
An exit poll by Bir Zeit University in Ramallah showed Fatah winning 63 seats in the 132-member parliament with 46.4 percent of the vote and Hamas taking 58 seats with 39.5 percent. Smaller parties received 11 seats, according to the poll of 8,000 voters in 232 polling stations. The poll had a one-seat margin of error.
A second survey showed Fatah beating Hamas 42 percent to 35 percent, or 58 seats to 53. Official results are due Thursday.
This will create a difficult situation for both Israel and the US, depending on the final role played by Hamas in the new government.
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January 25th, 2024 at 8:41 pm
Palestinian exit polls suggest Fatah lead but Hamas advantage
I would be really cautious with exit polls in an electoral system like this… but if they are right, Hamas was advantaged in the votes-to-seats converion relative to Fatah
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