Over the weekend, the Guardian reported an interesting poll:
On Sunday an Ipsos-Mori opinion poll slashed the Tory lead over Labour from 11 points to six – which, if it were translated into seats, would see the Tories 38 seats short of forming a government alone but just two seats ahead of Labour. The Lib Dems would be called on to decide which party to help get over the mark.
Certainly this would present an intriguing situation to watch. Interestingly, the LDP leader, Nick Clegg, is quoted in the soty that he does notseek to be a kingmaker and that the party (i.e., Conservatives or Labour) that wins the most seats in the election should be given the chance to govern.
First caveat in regards to the Ipsos-Mori poll and its implications: the election isn’t until next May.
Second caveat: Mike White notes that other polls indicate a far larger Tory lead:
Sphere: Related ContentIt’s not yet a week since the Guardian’s ICM poll gave David Cameron a 42:29:19 lead – enough to give Dave a 70-seat Commons majority if translated into real life on 6 May.
That’s consistent with most recent polls, though the trend does suggest Labour may be closing the gap.
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November 24th, 2009 at 5:59 pm
[...] forgot to mention in my previous post on the pending British elections that another aspect of potential fun out the of those elections is [...]