Andrew Gelman looks at The myth of poor Democratic performance in House races in the 2008 election at Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State:
Obama won 53% of the two-party vote, congressional Democrats averaged 56%. The average swing of 5.7% from Democratic congressional candidates in 2004 to Dems in 2008 was actually greater than the popular vote swing of 4.5% from Kerry to Obama.
There are charts and everything.
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November 10th, 2008 at 7:06 pm
When you factor in Dem gains in 2006, it’s really unbelievable that some people are disappointed that Dems gained just 20 seats this year.
On a related note, I have a column in Sunday’s Jackson Clarion-Ledger about which direction the GOP needs to head if it wants to be relevant beyond the South. You can access it through my blog at kingpolitics.com