While the national numbers certainly don’t look good for McCain, the latest batch of state-level numbers is even worse. Nate Silver posted a plethora of such polls yesterday.
Specifically the following caught my eye:
Florida: the Miami Herald poll puts Obama at +7 and Quinnipiac at +5
Indiana: Big Ten poll, Obama +9.5 and SurveryUSA at +4
Ohio: Big Ten, Obama +11.5 and Quinnipiac at +14
Pennsylvania: Big Ten, Obama +10.4, Morning Call at +10, National Journal at +10, Quinnipiac at +13 and SurveyUSA at +12
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Big Ten poll???
I would add, then, that Obama is also leading the BCS standings by virtue of his home state Northwestern Wildcats’ #22 ranking. No Arizona teams even register in the BCS.
Reply to Ratoe
Comment by Ratoe — Friday, October 24, 2024 @ 10:24 am
The message here is as follows:
If you are a McCain supporter, don’t bother voting. It’s a lost cause, you might as well stay home. This is what the newspapers want, and it’s probably what they’ll get.
And that’s all that these polls do. They have no useful function in our society.
These pollsters all need to get a real job and quit jocking the list; it really confuses people.
Reply to Captain D
Comment by Captain D — Friday, October 24, 2024 @ 10:31 am
Captain:
Or, perhaps, the message is: McCain voters had better get out and vote.
Really, the notion that the goal of polling is to dissuade people from voting is simply incorrect.
I don’t understand why this frustrates you so. They are a tool for assessing the opinion of the public at a specific moment in time. What is so wrong about that?
Reply to Dr. Steven Taylor
Comment by Dr. Steven Taylor — Friday, October 24, 2024 @ 7:33 pm
i’d rather look at it the other way around: being ahead in the polls might lead to a false sense of complacency in obama supporters. lest we forget, the only meaningful poll in this election is on nov. 4th.
if we were to believe in the polls, guiliani could have been president one year ago. (scary, i know.)
Reply to nevrdull
Comment by nevrdull — Saturday, October 25, 2024 @ 10:08 am