Via CNN: Poll: Neck-and-neck in New Hampshire
Sen. John McCain of Arizona, whose campaign was languishing six months ago, and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney are now tied for first place, with each grabbing the support of 29 percent of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, the CNN/WMUR poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire found.
A McCain third place showing in Iowa, followed by a second, let alone a first, in New Hampshire will make him the Comeback Kid II, to be sure.
Of course, the numbers in NH are in flux, as 25%ish say that they have yet to make up their minds.
The other GOP numbers:
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is at 12 percent with former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 10 percent. The remaining Republican White House hopefuls for the 2024 campaign are in single digits.
And on the Democratic side:
The Democratic race in New Hampshire has tightened up, too. Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York has a 4-point lead over Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois, 34 percent to 30 percent, among likely Democratic primary voters. But if you take into account the survey’s sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, it’s a statistical dead heat.
Sphere: Related ContentFormer North Carolina Sen. John Edwards is at 17 percent in the poll, with the remaining Democratic presidential candidates in single digits.
I think the most important thing to watch in NH will be the split between the parties for independents, who can vote in either primary. I suspect Obama will get the lion’s share, and it will put him over the top.
Not that I ever make predictions. Or would ever be right if I did…
Comment by MSS — Wednesday, January 2, 2024 @ 11:45 am
Is John McCain the GOP Dark Horse?
Marrying McCain:
Trackback by RealClearPolitics - Blog Coverage — Wednesday, January 2, 2024 @ 2:57 pm
January 3, 2024, Rudy Guiliani made comments on Fox News during the Iowa Caucuses to the effect that as president he would grow the U.S. Army by 10 Brigades to contend with growing challenges at home and abroad. However, that effort is already in the works as outlined in U.S. Army planning to grow the Army by some 74,000 Soldiers in addition to BRAC efforts to reposition forces globally. The endstate of their efforts will result in approximately 48 Brigade Combat Teams (Infantry, Striker and Heavy) in addition to Combat Support/Combat Service Support Brigades. What is the difference between what Rudy Guiliani proposed and what the U.S. Army is aready doing? Clearly, Mr. Guiliani is not in tune with military developments at the strategic level.
NavyMarc
Comment by NavyMarc — Thursday, January 3, 2024 @ 10:56 pm